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MSTRCore thesis · 5/5Save idea

High-yield digital credit products carry equity risks

The guest argued that digital credit instruments like STRC and SOTA are marketed as safe, bank-account-like products but are actually highly volatile, unrated perpetual preferred equities with discretionary dividends.

The argument

The guest pointed out that these instruments have no maturity dates, no redemption rights, and are issued by companies with negative operating income. He argued that their stability is manufactured and highly dependent on market confidence, making retail investors vulnerable to severe capital losses if dividends are suspended or par value is lost.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • STRC or SOTA suspends or reduces its dividend payment
  • The market price of STRC or SOTA falls significantly below par value ($100) for an extended period
  • MicroStrategy is forced to sell Bitcoin to fund dividend obligations
▸ Risks discussed
  • Dividends are entirely discretionary and can be suspended without cause
  • No right to redeem or demand the $100 par value back from the issuer
  • Issuers have negative operating income and rely on market confidence to maintain the flywheel
  • Secondary market liquidation is the only exit, exposing holders to market discounts
Hear it yourself
"Explore opportunities today at crypto.fidelitycareers.com. Fidelity is an equal opportunity employer. This episode is brought to you by Cape, America's privacy first mobile carrier. Same premium service you'd expect from any other carrier, but designed so your number, your location, and your data actually stay yours. Get 33% off six months at cape.co/unchained. Today's guest is Glenn Cameron, CFA global head of institutional at OnRamp Bitcoin. Welcome, Glenn. Thanks so much for having me, Laura. It's nice to be with you."
01:15
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