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ICECMECore thesis · 5/5Save idea

Hyperliquid disrupts traditional derivative exchanges

The bull case argued for Hyperliquid highlights its massive trading volume, 24/7 real-time utility, and a highly favorable tokenomic model where 99% of fees go toward token buybacks.

The argument

The speakers noted that Hyperliquid's volume has eclipsed Nasdaq's, drawing attention from traditional exchange CEOs. However, the guest pointed out that institutional adoption remains constrained by regulatory barriers, security risks, and the reliance on auto-deleveraging (ADL) instead of robust risk waterfalls.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Integration of traditional risk waterfalls to replace ADL
  • Acquisition of onshore US regulatory licenses
  • Continued growth in annualized fee revenue and token buybacks
▸ Risks discussed
  • Regulatory barriers preventing US institutional access
  • Smart contract and protocol security risks
  • Auto-deleveraging (ADL) risk management mechanisms that discourage institutional capital
Hear it yourself
"This sets up a race with OpenAI, which is reported to be preparing its own confidential filing in the coming weeks, also targeting fall according to both Fortune and Bloomberg. And it's part of a white hot IPO season because we also have SpaceX coming, targeting a 2,000,000,000,000 valuation for their fundraise. So there are a lot of numbers flying around about this. Some of them somehow are already outdated. Zero x reflection made the point that the 20,000,000,000 revenue number is outdated. So the real last valuation that we've heard is 965,000,000,000 post money from the series h."
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