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MSTRSubstantive discussion · 3/5Save idea

Leverage and preferred drag pressure MicroStrategy

The speakers argued that MicroStrategy's aggressive issuance of yield-bearing instruments has created a structural drag on common equity holders.

The argument

The guest argued that structures like 'Stretch' prime common equity holders by taking claims away from common stock and giving them to preferred holders. With no underlying operating revenue to support these yields, the company faces a growing cash flow drag as it may need to increase dividend yields to 12-13%.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • MSTR forced to increase dividend yields to 12-13%
  • Underperformance of MSTR common equity relative to spot Bitcoin
▸ Risks discussed
  • A massive upward move in Bitcoin price could overwhelm the structural drag
  • Management successfully restructuring its debt or dividend obligations
Hear it yourself
"This podcast is for informational purposes only, and the views expressed by anyone on the show are solely their opinions, not financial advice or necessarily the views of BlockWorks. Our hosts, guests, and the Blockworks team may hold positions in the company's funds or projects discussed. As always, investments in blockchain technology involve risk, terms, and conditions apply. Do your own research. Alright. What's going on, everybody? Welcome back to another round of edition forward guidance. We are recording on the first week of the Kevin Warsh Fed. We just had the Kevin Warsh Fed."
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