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KSPICore thesis · 5/5Save idea

Kaspi dominates Kazakhstan via its integrated super-app

The bull case for Kaspi is that its deeply entrenched, multi-vertical super-app operates as a virtual monopoly across payments, e-commerce, and fintech in Kazakhstan, driving exceptional profitability.

The argument

The hosts argued that Kaspi has achieved an unprecedented level of daily integration in Kazakhstan, with over 70% of the population using the app an average of 77 times a month. By owning the entire payment rails and eliminating middlemen like Visa or Mastercard, the company achieves net income margins exceeding 65% in its payments segment.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Sustained net income margins above 65% in the payments division in upcoming quarterly reports
  • Rapid adoption metrics for new product rollouts like the 'Alacuan' pay-by-palm system
▸ Risks discussed
  • Potential government intervention or regulatory caps on high-margin payment fees
  • Selling pressure on the stock as co-founder Vyacheslav Kim divests shares to finance an outside bank acquisition
Hear it yourself
"So for context, more than 70% of Kazakhstan's population actively uses Kaspi. And when I say they actively use it, that means they interact with the app more than 77 times a month."
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KSPI: Kaspi dominates Kazakhstan via its integrated super-app · Zortix