US Treasury bonds face downside price spike
The US government debt market is on edge and structurally vulnerable to a sharp drop in bond prices, which would spike yields.
The argument
The guest argued that the 30-year Treasury bond market is technically precarious. A failure to hold the bottom end of its recent price range could trigger a downside price spike, forcing equity investors to shift attention to surging long-end yields.
The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
- ✓30-year Treasury bond futures plunging through the bottom end of their three-year price range
▸ Risks discussed
- ▸Federal Reserve policy interventions could temporarily distort natural market pricing
Hear it yourself
"And so when we survey things like major forex, like the dollar index, or we look at the US government t bond market, or we look at the commodity complex, or we look at the monetary metals, we see major moves either underway or pending."
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