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BEARISHSubstantive discussion · 3/5

Compressed bond yield spreads lack margin of safety

Investing in corporate or risky fixed income when yield spreads over T-bills are narrow or negative yields poor risk-adjusted returns.

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The story so far
  1. 23 JUL 2026 · 2W AGOFIRST HEARD
    Credit spreads signal market complacency
    THOUGHTFUL MONEY
  2. 24 JUL 2026 · 2W AGOREPEATS
    Credit offers carry yield despite tight spreads
    BARRON'S STREETWISE
  3. 30 JUL 2026 · 5D AGOSUPPORTS
    Wait for wide credit spreads before buying bonds
    THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST
  4. 30 JUL 2026 · 5D AGOSUPPORTS
    Compressed bond yield spreads lack margin of safety · THIS IDEA
    THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST
  5. 3 AUG 2026 · YESTERDAYSUPPORTS
    Income over duration in fixed income
    BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
  6. 3 AUG 2026 · YESTERDAYSUPPORTS
    Bonds reclaim traditional portfolio role
    BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
  7. 3 AUG 2026 · YESTERDAYSUPPORTS
    Focus on high-quality fixed income, selective private credit
    BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD
NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE · A SUMMARY OF WHAT WAS SAID ON THE PODCAST · VERIFY AGAINST THE SOURCE