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SECTOR ETFKREKBEIn depth · 4/5Save idea

No single ticker was named. Regional banks ETFs are one way for retail investors to get exposure. Not a recommendation.

Regional banks set to rerate on steepening yield curve

The bull case presented for regional banks is that they are printing money and growing earnings up to 30% due to a steepening yield curve, starting from deeply discounted 2008-level valuations.

The argument

The guest argued that the 2023 regional banking crisis was a temporary liability/paper-loss crisis rather than a structural asset crisis like 2008. With the discount window open and a steepening yield curve, these banks are poised to rerate, especially if lending activity picks up.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Regional banks reporting sustained 30% earnings growth
  • An increase in bank lending volumes in quarterly reports
▸ Risks discussed
  • A flat or inverted yield curve persisting longer than expected
  • Lending volumes remaining stagnant
Hear it yourself
"2023 got back to 2008 valuations for banks. Okay? So now you've got that yield curve steepening, and they're printing money. And by the way, they're not even really lending that much right now."
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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE · A SUMMARY OF WHAT WAS SAID ON THE PODCAST · VERIFY AGAINST THE SOURCE
Regional banks set to rerate on steepening yield curve · Zortix