Rising credit costs pressure consumer-facing banks
The guest argued that bank earnings will reveal whether consumer credit defaults are continuing to rise, signaling broader consumer distress.
The argument
The guest highlighted Capital One as an example of a major credit card issuer that has already shown rising credit costs, which indicates that consumers are increasingly defaulting on their debts.
The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
- ✓Capital One and peer banks reporting higher provisions for credit losses in upcoming quarterly earnings
▸ Risks discussed
- ▸Higher-than-expected consumer default rates
- ▸Persistent macroeconomic pressure on low-to-middle income consumers
Hear it yourself
"Well, what I really wanna see from the banks is whether or not credit costs continue to fall. We had a couple of names like Capital One, which is a big credit card issuer that actually saw higher credit costs in the first quarter of this year."
00:00 / 00:16
AFFILIATE LINK · ZORTIX MAY EARN A COMMISSION · NEVER A RECOMMENDATION TO TRADE