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MSTRCore thesis · 5/5Save idea

Exploiting public-private valuation gaps via closed-end funds

The guest argued that a publicly traded closed-end fund trading at a premium to NAV can compound value accretively by issuing shares at a premium and deploying that capital into cheaper private market assets.

The argument

Using the playbook of companies like MicroStrategy and Constellation Software, the guest explained that public markets offer a much larger pool of capital and higher valuations than constrained private venture capital markets. By issuing shares at a premium to NAV, the fund increases its per-share NAV while securing permanent capital to invest in private robotics leaders.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Successful capital raises executed at a premium to NAV
  • Increasing NAV per share over multiple quarters despite flat underlying private valuations
▸ Risks discussed
  • Premium to NAV could compress or disappear
  • Illiquidity of underlying private assets
  • Dilution if share issuance is not managed accretively
Hear it yourself
"They they might make sense. And so that top down type of sizing is I think, really puts it into perspective. If you look at but if you look at something like Apple. Right? Like, people would have thought you were crazy if you told them in 2006 that this would be a $3,000,000,000,000 company today. Because before the iPhone came out, it was, like, what, $50,000,000,000 company? And that, you know, 3,000,000,000,000 would have been bigger than, like, most of the big companies combined back then. And so I think people really underappreciate the amount of value creation that can happen with really transformative, technological jumps."
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