US long-dated Treasury prices heading lower
The guest argued that US long-dated Treasury bond prices are locked in a major bearish trend, which will push yields higher.
The argument
Oliver pointed to the long-term monthly chart of Treasury bond prices, noting that momentum remains highly bearish since the 2020 peak, signaling an impending debt crisis.
The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
- ✓Long-term Treasury prices breaking below recent consolidation levels
- ✓Yields marching consistently higher
▸ Risks discussed
- ▸Potential central bank interventions or sudden shifts in monetary policy
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