Concentrated junior miners offer asymmetric ten-bagger potential
The bull case presented for junior gold and silver developers is that extreme market pessimism has left select near-production assets highly undervalued relative to their resource size and sales potential.
The argument
The guest argued that while many juniors are uneconomic, select developers with active drilling programs or near-term production can be acquired at low price-to-sales multiples. He expects a trickle-down effect of speculative capital - potentially rotating out of 'dead money' cryptocurrencies - to drive these juniors from undervalued to overvalued.
The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
- ✓Junior developers successfully transitioning to active production and meeting initial output targets
- ✓An increase in M&A activity and takeovers of junior developers by majors
▸ Risks discussed
- ▸High failure rate of early-stage exploration
- ▸Unfavorable local politics or challenging deposit geology
- ▸Management teams characterized as 'shady' or promotional
Hear it yourself
"And then they can go from being undervalued to overvalued. And I think what the the good thing about what this correction is presented is that in the next move up, I think these kind of companies can lead because I think they'll get more trickle down effect as more money comes into the junior mining sector."
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