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APOCore thesis · 5/5Save idea

AI infrastructure shifts to private credit financing

The guest argued that the massive capital requirements for AI infrastructure, data centers, and robotics cannot be funded by venture equity alone and will increasingly shift to private credit and hybrid capital markets.

The argument

The guest noted that 2025 was a proof of concept, but 2026 will see concentration limits hit for public equity investors as CapEx scales. Reusable infrastructure assets with hard value are being offloaded into credit markets to optimize the cost of capital.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Widening of credit spreads for tech infrastructure debt
  • Increased issuance of private investment-grade debt for data centers
▸ Risks discussed
  • Concentration limits among major investors
  • Widening credit spreads in 2026
Hear it yourself
"A sixteen z's David Haber speaks with Mark Rowan about building Apollo, the evolution of private markets, and financing the next industrial era. Mark, thank you so much for joining us and for hosting us here at your office. Nothing better. My absolute pleasure. I thought we'd start by maybe going back in time. You joined Drexel coming out of Wharton, I believe, in 1984. What did you see in the firm at that time? It was an interesting thing. Everyone who had come out of my program at Wharton had basically gone to Goldman Sachs. Yep. And"
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