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Hybrids outpace pure EVs in US

The argument was made that the US automotive market is shifting toward hybrid vehicles over pure electric vehicles (EVs) due to the rollback of federal EV tax credits and fuel efficiency penalties.

The argument

The speakers noted that while high gas prices typically boost EV adoption, US automakers like Ford and GM have scaled back EV production plans after policy incentives were stripped. Consequently, US consumers are turning to hybrids as a middle ground, with hybrid sales rising 36% in March and April.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Continued double-digit growth in hybrid sales in upcoming monthly auto sales data
  • Further production cuts or delays in pure EV platforms by major US automakers
▸ Risks discussed
  • Reintroduction of federal EV tax credits or emissions penalties
  • Rapid decline in battery costs making pure EVs price-competitive without subsidies
Hear it yourself
"200 in all, every single one reserved by residents within twenty four hours. We missed it last year, so we we decided to get it this year. This is Lakewood's third year doing this. We really take our tree canopy very seriously, and, it's something that we've been trying to increase for the last few years. Sofia Zelis is Lakewood's city planner. We've been planting as the city, separate from this event, 350 to 400 trees every year, and that is a significant part of our budget. Almost $150,000 per year, which comes out to roughly $375 a tree."
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