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APOSubstantive discussion · 3/5Save idea

Commercial real estate repricing creates selective opportunities

The guest argued that after years of being overvalued, commercial real estate has repriced to levels that make the asset class attractive again.

The argument

During the low-rate era leading up to 2022, cap rates were compressed to unattractive levels (around 3%), prompting the firm to hold zero real estate equity on its insurance balance sheet. The subsequent rate hikes and repricing led to their acquisition of a $50 billion real estate asset manager.

The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
  • Stabilization or recovery of commercial real estate cap rates
  • Successful deployment of capital into newly acquired real estate platforms
▸ Risks discussed
  • Continued pressure on commercial real estate valuations from high interest rates
  • Integration risks associated with the acquired asset manager
Hear it yourself
"Obviously, with rates moving and cap rates moving, we, this year, went out and bought a $50,000,000,000 real estate asset manager called Bridge. And that's now an area we're starting to redirect and lean into because the relative pricing has repriced there, and it's certainly a lot more interesting."
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APO: Commercial real estate repricing creates selective opportunities · Zortix