Low pairwise correlation enables safe portfolio leverage
The guest argued that building a 'Honeycomb' portfolio of 14 non-correlated, high-return-on-equity stocks around gold and timber minimizes volatility, allowing the safe use of leverage to hedge against dollar debasement.
The argument
By selecting two power-law winning stocks from six distinct, non-correlated industry groups, the speaker asserts investors can achieve equity-like returns with half the market's volatility and no cash drag.
The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
- ✓Portfolio volatility remains at half of the S&P 500 volatility during market stress
- ✓Merck successfully navigates its upcoming patent cliffs while maintaining its dividend
▸ Risks discussed
- ▸Margin calls if extreme market-wide correlations gap to 1.0 during a crisis
- ▸Specific business risks such as patent cliffs for pharmaceutical holdings or regulatory shifts for consumer products
Hear it yourself
"I'm now working two jobs. I'm paying more taxes than ever, and my life keeps getting worse and worse and worse, and I don't understand why. And if you look at everything we've seen since the GFC, the the not just the Black Lives Matter movement, but the, the Occupy Wall Street movement. If you look at the absolute growing disaffection of people 40, if you look at the age at which people have been able to start families, the age at which people have been able to buy their first homes, all of this shows a economy, a culture, a way of life that's falling apart."
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