Zortix matched this thesis to Cloud & software ETFs as the exposure the bearish case argues against, most actionable for readers who already hold them. Not a recommendation.
Software sector's deteriorating capital cycle
The bear case argued that many software/SaaS companies entered the AI shock with an already deteriorating capital cycle, marked by rising costs and falling marginal returns.
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The story so far
CONTESTED · 54 MENTIONS · 42 EPISODES · 21 SHOWS
25 SEP 2025 — 13 AUG 2026 · 5D AGO
25 SUPPORT · 15 CHALLENGE · 1 UPDATE · 2 REPEAT · 11 MENTIONED
- THE DERIVATIVE
17 EPISODES BETWEEN · 21 MENTIONS
- PLANET MICROCAP PODCAST
- THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW
- AFFORD ANYTHING
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 2 MENTIONS
- WHAT BITCOIN DID
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS · 2 MENTIONS
- ANIMAL SPIRITS · 2 MENTIONS
- YET ANOTHER VALUE PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- ANIMAL SPIRITS
- THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- ANIMAL SPIRITS
- FORWARD GUIDANCE
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG
- YET ANOTHER VALUE PODCAST
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY
- Software sector's deteriorating capital cycle · THIS IDEA
17 EPISODES BETWEEN · 24 MENTIONS
- PLANET MICROCAP PODCAST
- ANIMAL SPIRITS · 3 MENTIONS
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES · 3 MENTIONS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 2 MENTIONS
- THE LONG VIEW
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 2 MENTIONS
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY
- FORWARD GUIDANCE
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE POMP PODCAST
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- BARRON'S STREETWISE · 2 MENTIONS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- ANIMAL SPIRITS
- YET ANOTHER VALUE PODCAST
- THE BUSINESS BREW · 2 MENTIONS
- CNBC FAST MONEY
- WE STUDY BILLIONAIRES - THE INVESTORS PODCAST NETWORK
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD