Costco and Moderna sentiment gains go unpriced
The guest argues that Costco and Moderna are undervalued because their positive executive sentiment shifts are not currently reflected in their stock prices.
The argument
For high-intangible companies driven by brand, customer relationships, or IP, tracking sentiment shifts is highly predictive; currently, Costco and Moderna show unpriced positive sentiment, while Amazon shows unpriced negative sentiment.
The thesis, stress-tested
✓ What validates it
- ✓Costco reports strong membership renewal and sales growth
- ✓Moderna reports positive pipeline updates or IP monetization
▸ Risks discussed
- ▸Intangible asset value is difficult to quantify and can degrade quickly
- ▸Market remains irrational regarding sentiment disconnects for longer than expected
Hear it yourself
"in Brazil, Taiwan, Korea, Indonesia. The lowest are in UAE, Australia, South Africa, China, India, and this very much kind of expresses what's happening in the world. What you see is, South Africa, Australia, India are under pressure because of what's happening with Iran, where they're huge importers of, of of of of of oil, of natural gas, and derivatives, in the chemical space of the exports coming from the Gulf States. Obviously, UAE is also under pressure because of what's happening in the world right now with the the war in Iran."
15:30
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