Economy follows the pluck model, not oscillation
Macroeconomic data shows economies operate on Milton Friedman's 'pluck model', where growth tracks long-run potential until interrupted by temporary negative shocks.
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The story so far
CONTESTED · 8 MENTIONS · 3 EPISODES · 3 SHOWS
22 JUL 2026 — 29 JUL 2026 · 1W AGO
5 SUPPORT · 1 CHALLENGE · 2 REPEAT
- ANIMAL SPIRITS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- TOP TRADERS UNPLUGGED · 6 MENTIONS
- Recessions impair rather than enhance creative destruction
- Economic expansions do not die of old age
- Economy follows the pluck model, not oscillation · THIS IDEA
- Financial crises do not slow US/UK recoveries
- Energy supply shocks remain primary recession drivers
- China rare earth export limits threaten macroeconomic shock · CHALLENGES
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD