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NVDABULLISHFLIPPEDEXCESS RETURNS · BEARISH IN SEPTEMBER → BULLISH IN SEPTEMBER

AI bubble's limited downside vs dot-com

The guest argued that while AI is in a bubble phase of overinvestment, the eventual meltdown will be less severe than the dot-com crash due to lower starting valuations.

EXCESS RETURNS CHANGED ITS VIEW

BEARISH FOR 0 DAYS, THEN THE TURN
THEN3 SEP · BEARISHThe guest expressed a negative view on NVIDIA's decision to provide long-term revenue guidance, seeing it as an unusual and potentially unwise move for the company.NOW3 SEP · BULLISHThe guest argued that while AI is in a bubble phase of overinvestment, the eventual meltdown will be less severe than the dot-com crash due to lower starting valuations.

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The Callback

US Treasury yields headed to 10%

44 weeks between these two statements.

Then

The guest argued the current AI boom exhibits the same extreme euphoria and disregard for financial fundamentals that characterized the dot-com bubble.

THE KNOWLEDGE PROJECT · 28 OCT 2025 · 20:00Open in Zortix →
Now

The guest argued that while AI is in a bubble phase of overinvestment, the eventual meltdown will be less severe than the dot-com crash due to lower starting valuations.

EXCESS RETURNS · 3 SEP 2026 · 1W AGO · 30:09
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