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CRMWDAYBEARISHFLIPPEDMONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY · BULLISH IN JULY → BEARISH IN AUGUST

Application software: growth reset, not AI disruption

The guest argued the initial crash in application software names reflected a growth rate reset to low-to-moderate levels, not a pricing-in of full AI disruption.

MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY CHANGED ITS VIEW

BULLISH FOR 5 WEEKS, THEN THE TURN
THEN29 JUL · BULLISHThe case was made that traditional software equities are historically cheap and offer a valuation safety net if AI monetization fails to deliver on high expectations.NOW31 AUG · BEARISHThe guest argued the initial crash in application software names reflected a growth rate reset to low-to-moderate levels, not a pricing-in of full AI disruption.

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The Callback

US Treasury yields headed to 10%

28 weeks between these two statements.

Then

The bear case argued: a sharp sell-off in software stocks reflects a market re-rating of long-term growth expectations from 15-20% to 5-10%, driven by fears of AI disruption to business models.

GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES · 17 FEB 2026 · 3:30Open in Zortix →
Now

The guest argued the initial crash in application software names reflected a growth rate reset to low-to-moderate levels, not a pricing-in of full AI disruption.

MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY · 31 AUG 2026 · 2W AGO · 10:15
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