Zortix matched this thesis to OpenAI’s public holders (MSFT, SFTBY, AMZN, NVDA) as one way public-market investors are exposed to it. Stakes as disclosed or reported. Not a recommendation.
Where these come from — OpenAI’s exposure, as disclosed or reported
MSFTMicrosoft — about 27% of OpenAI Group PBC (reported); roughly $13bn invested since 2019. · as of Aug 2026 · Press reporting (The Motley Fool, 2026-08-13)
SFTBYSoftBank Group — about 11.7% (reported), financed in part by a $40bn bridge loan maturing March 2027. · as of Aug 2026 · Press reporting (The Motley Fool, 2026-08-13)
AMZNAmazon — preferred stock in OpenAI, carried together with its Anthropic preferred at a $122.3bn combined carrying value as of 30 June 2026. · as of 30 Jun 2026 · Amazon 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (filed 2026-07-31)
NVDANvidia — letter of intent to invest up to $100bn progressively as compute is deployed (September 2025). · as of Sep 2025 · Company announcement, 2025-09-22
OpenAI's business momentum surpasses Anthropic's
The guest argued that OpenAI currently has better business momentum than Anthropic, contrary to the common narrative, due to Anthropic's compute capacity constraints.
Keep reading this one
You've read the thesis and who argued it. A free account opens the argument, what validates it, the risks the show raised, and the moment in the episode where it was said — 3 ideas in full a day, no card.
The story so far
CONTESTED · 141 MENTIONS · 89 EPISODES · 32 SHOWS
6 DEC 2025 — 26 AUG 2026 · YESTERDAY
76 SUPPORT · 12 CHALLENGE · 2 REPEAT · 51 MENTIONED
- THE BUSINESS BREW
53 EPISODES BETWEEN · 92 MENTIONS · 29 NOT KEPT
- 29 EPISODES NOT SHOWN
- A16Z PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- THE KNOWLEDGE PROJECT · 2 MENTIONS
- WHAT BITCOIN DID · 2 MENTIONS
- THE BUSINESS BREW
- PROF G MARKETS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 2 MENTIONS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- WHAT BITCOIN DID
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 2 MENTIONS
- BUSINESS BREAKDOWNS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 2 MENTIONS
- MACROVOICES
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS · 3 MENTIONS
- A16Z PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 2 MENTIONS
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 3 MENTIONS
- PROF G MARKETS
- BANKLESS · 2 MENTIONS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- WHAT BITCOIN DID · 2 MENTIONS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 3 MENTIONS
- PROF G MARKETS · 2 MENTIONS
- A16Z PODCAST · 5 MENTIONS
- PROF G MARKETS
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 2 MENTIONS
- THE POMP PODCAST
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 9 MENTIONS
- Agent labs will drive more model development
- Model distillation as a standard technique
- US far behind China in open model quality
- Enterprises more nervous of frontier than Chinese models
- Developer loyalty exists despite low switching costs
- Inevitable multi-model future drives OpenRouter's thesis
- Orchestrator + sub-agent as optimal AI architecture
- Distillation and compute key for US open model catch-up
- Model labs as eventual competitors to AI wrappers · CHALLENGES
- PROF G MARKETS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- A16Z PODCAST
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC · 2 MENTIONS
- PROF G MARKETS
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 5 MENTIONS
- MOTLEY FOOL MONEY
- MASTERS IN BUSINESS
- THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW
- THE POMP PODCAST
- WE STUDY BILLIONAIRES - THE INVESTORS PODCAST NETWORK
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- ODD LOTS
- CNBC FAST MONEY
- WHAT BITCOIN DID
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- MOTLEY FOOL MONEY · 2 MENTIONS
- THE DERIVATIVE
- ALL-IN WITH CHAMATH, JASON, SACKS & FRIEDBERG · 2 MENTIONS
- BARRON'S STREETWISE
- UNCHAINED · 3 MENTIONS
- THE POMP PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- A16Z PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- REAL VISION DAILY BRIEFING
- OpenAI's business momentum surpasses Anthropic's · THIS IDEA
- THE RATIONAL REMINDER PODCAST
- A16Z PODCAST
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD