Zortix matched this thesis to Rates & bonds ETFs as the exposure the bearish case argues against, most actionable for readers who already hold them. Not a recommendation.
Long-end Treasury yields pressured to 4.5%-5% range
The thesis presented was that 10-year Treasury yields will remain elevated in a 4.5% to 5% range due to crowding out from corporate issuance, reduced foreign buying, and increased global sovereign debt supply.
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The story so far
CONTESTED · 91 MENTIONS · 64 EPISODES · 23 SHOWS
14 AUG 2025 — 19 AUG 2026 · 2D AGO
50 SUPPORT · 12 CHALLENGE · 2 REPEAT · 27 MENTIONED
- THE MEMO BY HOWARD MARKS
53 EPISODES BETWEEN · 74 MENTIONS · 4 NOT KEPT
- 4 EPISODES NOT SHOWN
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE INSIGHT BY OAKTREE CAPITAL · 3 MENTIONS
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE INSIGHT BY OAKTREE CAPITAL
- THE MEMO BY HOWARD MARKS
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE INSIGHT BY OAKTREE CAPITAL · 4 MENTIONS
- MACROVOICES
- THE LONG VIEW · 2 MENTIONS
- THE BUSINESS BREW
- THE LONG VIEW · 4 MENTIONS
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES: THE MARKETS · 2 MENTIONS
- CAPITAL ALLOCATORS
- THE LONG VIEW
- FORWARD GUIDANCE
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES
- THE INSIGHT BY OAKTREE CAPITAL · 2 MENTIONS
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- AFFORD ANYTHING
- MASTERS IN BUSINESS · 2 MENTIONS
- CAPITAL ALLOCATORS · 3 MENTIONS
- THE LONG VIEW · 2 MENTIONS
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE
- MASTERS IN BUSINESS · 2 MENTIONS
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES: THE MARKETS
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE
- ANIMAL SPIRITS · 2 MENTIONS
- CAPITAL ALLOCATORS
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE · 2 MENTIONS
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- THE LONG VIEW
- FORWARD GUIDANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- BARRON'S STREETWISE
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- ANIMAL SPIRITS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES
- FORWARD GUIDANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BARRON'S STREETWISE · 3 MENTIONS
- CNBC FAST MONEY
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE · 2 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY · 2 MENTIONS
- Long-end Treasury yields pressured to 4.5%-5% range · THIS IDEA · CHALLENGES
- High-quality corporate credit over sovereign debt
- TOP TRADERS UNPLUGGED
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD