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The Derivative
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RCM Alternatives on managed futures, options selling, alts.

In the last 30 days, The Derivative produced 58 attributed ideas; most-discussed: MRNA, APLD, IGV.

15
Ideas · 7d
58
Ideas · 30d
401
Ideas · all time
44
Episodes
Names this show discusses most
30D
MRNA · 2APLD · 1IGV · 1NVDA · 1
90D
MRNA · 2APLD · 1IGV · 1NVDA · 1

Theses first heard here · 22

Prepare for a major stock market bustFIRST HEARD 20 AUG
AI's deflationary impact hinges on margin captureFIRST HEARD 20 AUG
Trend following requires discipline, not constant tinkeringFIRST HEARD 30 JUL
Gold and silver as monetary canary and fire extinguisherFIRST HEARD 12 FEB · GDX GLD
Liquid alts and hedge funds as new diversifiersFIRST HEARD 29 JAN
Latest attributed ideas · most recent first
15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Portfolio structured like venture to absorb mistakes
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Shorting unsecured bonds for defined-risk alpha
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Letting winners run, but trimming after catalysts
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Hidden assets in overlooked distressed businesses
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Distressed investing's inefficiency from psychological taint
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Performing market taint creates similar mispricing
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Low bankruptcy count despite higher rates
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Analyst coverage as a source of edge
MRNAOpen in Zortix →
15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
AI's two-sided economic impact: productivity vs recession
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Business ethics as a framework for stakeholder analysis
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Sovereign debt risk in France
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Old-fashioned hedge fund model aligns LPs and GPs
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Private equity sponsor quality as a key risk factor
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15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Hidden assets as a free option
SHOWS SPLIT4 SHOWS · NOT ALL ON THE SAME SIDEMRNAOpen in Zortix →
15 OCT4D AGORunning an "Old Fashioned" Hedge Fund with Adrian Keevil of Plustick Partners
Applied Digital as a transformed AI infrastructure play
APLDOpen in Zortix →
8 OCT2W AGOThe Fall Solo Six-Pack: Sports Games, the Return of Discretionary Macro, & AI Coming for Your Job
AI hitting entry-level knowledge work first
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8 OCT2W AGOThe Fall Solo Six-Pack: Sports Games, the Return of Discretionary Macro, & AI Coming for Your Job
Discretionary macro as the new emerging strategy
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8 OCT2W AGOThe Fall Solo Six-Pack: Sports Games, the Return of Discretionary Macro, & AI Coming for Your Job
Lakers sale as a tax-advantaged trophy asset
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8 OCT2W AGOThe Fall Solo Six-Pack: Sports Games, the Return of Discretionary Macro, & AI Coming for Your Job
Ultra-luxury resorts as AI-proof job havens
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8 OCT2W AGOThe Fall Solo Six-Pack: Sports Games, the Return of Discretionary Macro, & AI Coming for Your Job
Tail hedging as a complacency indicator
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8 OCT2W AGOThe Fall Solo Six-Pack: Sports Games, the Return of Discretionary Macro, & AI Coming for Your Job
Market mispricing AI's employment impact
IGVOpen in Zortix →
24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
Markets as an unconstrained paperclip maximizer
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
AI doomsday narratives muddied by financial incentives
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
AI sandbox escape via coordinated hacking
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
Obliterated models enable basement-level havoc
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
Personal core allocation: trend-following over equities
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
State capacity and mission-oriented goals vs market ideology
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
AI compute efficiency deflating 47% per quarter
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
AI Frontier labs lack a competitive moat
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24 SEP4W AGOAI, Markets, and the Profits of Doom with Adam Butler
Corporate safety relies on employee ignorance
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IDEAS & DEPTH REFLECT PODCAST DISCUSSION · NOT A RATING, FORECAST, OR RECOMMENDATION