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The Dividend Cafe
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David Bahnsen daily markets, macro, and Washington briefing.

In the last 30 days, The Dividend Cafe produced 93 attributed ideas; most-discussed: SPY, VZ.

22
Ideas · 7d
93
Ideas · 30d
366
Ideas · all time
129
Episodes
Names this show discusses most
30D
SPY · 1VZ · 1
90D
SPY · 1VZ · 1

Theses first heard here · 9

US profit concentration driven by market powerFIRST HEARD 13 OCT
Treasury bond buybacks failing to curb yieldsFIRST HEARD 9 SEP
Fed may stand pat on ratesFIRST HEARD 3 SEP
Fed likely to hike 50 bps next weekFIRST HEARD 1 SEP
September midterm election year market history is a coin flipFIRST HEARD 31 AUG
Latest attributed ideas · most recent first
26 OCTYESTERDAYMonday - October 26, 2026
Market breadth warning flags concentration risk
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26 OCTYESTERDAYMonday - October 26, 2026
Bond yield drop driven by supply-demand, not inflation
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26 OCTYESTERDAYMonday - October 26, 2026
Under-the-hood losses belie index resilience
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26 OCTYESTERDAYMonday - October 26, 2026
Midstream energy stocks show non-correlated performance
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23 OCT4D AGOA Treadmill Market: Feeling Good while Going Nowhere
AI's unsatisfying stock returns despite success
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23 OCT4D AGOA Treadmill Market: Feeling Good while Going Nowhere
S&P 500's mean reversion math
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23 OCT4D AGOA Treadmill Market: Feeling Good while Going Nowhere
Dividend growth as a defense in choppy markets
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23 OCT4D AGOA Treadmill Market: Feeling Good while Going Nowhere
Capital as AI's biggest vulnerability
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22 OCT5D AGOThursday - October 22, 2026
AI valuation reset as parabolic charts correct
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22 OCT5D AGOThursday - October 22, 2026
Record margin debt elevates systemic risk
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22 OCT5D AGOThursday - October 22, 2026
Value and dividend sectors hold up on dispersion day
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22 OCT5D AGOThursday - October 22, 2026
Non-purpose lending versus margin explained
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21 OCT6D AGOWednesday - October 21, 2026
AI compute spending versus revenue is surreal
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21 OCT6D AGOWednesday - October 21, 2026
Off-balance-sheet AI financing not 2008-style
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21 OCT6D AGOWednesday - October 21, 2026
Large diversified firms as ultimate risk absorbers
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
CCC spread widening signals refinancing risk
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
Housing market frozen by rate lock-in
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
Creative destruction as a healthy economic process
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
Rent inflation feedback loop supports prices
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
Low odds of rapid home price appreciation
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
Rotation from growth to value amid earnings
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20 OCT1W AGOTuesday - October 20, 2026
Stress in leveraged neocloud providers
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19 OCT1W AGOMonday - October 19, 2026
AI capex growth rate downgrade risk
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19 OCT1W AGOMonday - October 19, 2026
Fed likely to skip October, hike in December
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19 OCT1W AGOMonday - October 19, 2026
Rising equity leverage signals higher volatility
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19 OCT1W AGOMonday - October 19, 2026
NASDAQ chart rhymes with 2000 bubble
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16 OCT2W AGOLightly Held Views, Aggressive Investments – Money Manager Week
Emerging markets manager pivots to AI semis
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16 OCT2W AGOLightly Held Views, Aggressive Investments – Money Manager Week
September AI rally driven by catch-up flows
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16 OCT2W AGOLightly Held Views, Aggressive Investments – Money Manager Week
Separate AI beta from company skill
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16 OCT2W AGOLightly Held Views, Aggressive Investments – Money Manager Week
High dispersion in AI views is healthy
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IDEAS & DEPTH REFLECT PODCAST DISCUSSION · NOT A RATING, FORECAST, OR RECOMMENDATION