High CAPE ratio signals weak future returns
The Deutsche Bank chart argued that historically high cyclically adjusted P/E ratios have consistently led to weak or negative 10-year real total returns for the S&P 500.
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The story so far
CONTESTED · 51 MENTIONS · 41 EPISODES · 18 SHOWS
4 JUL 2025 — 13 AUG 2026 · 5D AGO
21 SUPPORT · 9 CHALLENGE · 2 REPEAT · 19 MENTIONED
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE MEMO BY HOWARD MARKS
- BARRON'S STREETWISE
- High CAPE ratio signals weak future returns · THIS IDEA
32 EPISODES BETWEEN · 42 MENTIONS
- THE LONG VIEW
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES: THE MARKETS
- THE LONG VIEW
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES: THE MARKETS
- THE BUSINESS BREW
- THE MEB FABER SHOW · 4 MENTIONS
- CAPITAL ALLOCATORS
- THE LONG VIEW
- MACROVOICES
- THE RATIONAL REMINDER PODCAST · 3 MENTIONS
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES · 2 MENTIONS
- THE RATIONAL REMINDER PODCAST
- BARRON'S STREETWISE
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE MEB FABER SHOW · 2 MENTIONS
- BARRON'S STREETWISE
- THE MEB FABER SHOW
- THE MEB FABER SHOW · 2 MENTIONS
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY
- REAL VISION DAILY BRIEFING
- BARRON'S STREETWISE
- THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST
- THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST · 2 MENTIONS
- EXCESS RETURNS · 2 MENTIONS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- THE RATIONAL REMINDER PODCAST
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- EXCESS RETURNS
- WE STUDY BILLIONAIRES - THE INVESTORS PODCAST NETWORK
- THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW
- THE RATIONAL REMINDER PODCAST
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD