Trade the facts: long oil bias while escalation continues
The speaker's stated trading bias was to be long the oil complex while the conflict remains in 'full escalation mode,' as the facts on the ground show constrained supply not yet fully priced in.
Keep reading this one
You've read the thesis and who argued it. A free account opens the argument, what validates it, the risks the show raised, and the moment in the episode where it was said — 3 ideas in full a day, no card.
The story so far
CONTESTED · 303 MENTIONS · 186 EPISODES · 38 SHOWS
24 JUL 2025 — 26 AUG 2026 · YESTERDAY
146 SUPPORT · 65 CHALLENGE · 3 REPEAT · 89 MENTIONED
- MACROVOICES
- 42 EPISODES NOT SHOWN
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES: THE MARKETS
- Trade the facts: long oil bias while escalation continues · THIS IDEA
52 EPISODES BETWEEN · 74 MENTIONS · 84 NOT KEPT
- 84 EPISODES NOT SHOWN
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- COMMODITY CULTURE
- EXCESS RETURNS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- MACROVOICES · 2 MENTIONS
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- THE POMP PODCAST
- WSJ WHAT'S NEWS
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- WSJ WHAT'S NEWS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- SMARTERMARKETS · 3 MENTIONS
- PROF G MARKETS
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO · 2 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- MACROVOICES
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO · 4 MENTIONS
- WSJ WHAT'S NEWS
- REAL VISION DAILY BRIEFING
- WEALTHION - BE FINANCIALLY RESILIENT
- MARKETPLACE
- COMMODITY CULTURE · 2 MENTIONS
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- COMMODITY CULTURE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- CNBC FAST MONEY
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO
- REAL VISION DAILY BRIEFING
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- MACROVOICES
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- WEALTHION - BE FINANCIALLY RESILIENT · 6 MENTIONS
- YET ANOTHER VALUE PODCAST
- MARKETPLACE
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO
- WEALTHION - BE FINANCIALLY RESILIENT · 2 MENTIONS
- THE OPTIONS INSIDER RADIO NETWORK
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO · 9 MENTIONS
- Strait of Hormuz closure is a structural phase shift
- Supply loss less severe than initially feared
- Americas' oil growth is geographically and geopolitically constrained
- Global oil supply is in a mature, long-term decline
- Oil price cushion from high inventories
- Oil priced correctly now, but path to $140 by November
- Comparative inventory as a key oil price signal
- Not all oil is equal: Persian Gulf crude is 'whiskey'
- Shut-in Persian Gulf production faces restart risk
- THE DERIVATIVE
- MACROVOICES
- SMARTERMARKETS
- REAL VISION DAILY BRIEFING
- MACRO MUSINGS WITH DAVID BECKWORTH · 2 MENTIONS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- COMMODITY CULTURE
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY · 2 MENTIONS
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD