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TLTBEARISHFLIPPEDTHE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW · BULLISH IN AUGUST → BEARISH IN SEPTEMBER

Treasury sell-off driven by supply, not inflation

The guest argued the recent global bond sell-off is primarily a supply problem from excessive Treasury and corporate debt issuance, coupled with political risk, rather than rising inflation expectations.

THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW CHANGED ITS VIEW

BULLISH FOR 3 WEEKS, THEN THE TURN
THEN18 AUG · BULLISHThe case made was that long-dated U.S. Treasury bonds (TLT) are the only reliable safe haven in a major downturn, as they were in 2008, and could double in value.NOW8 SEP · BEARISHThe guest argued the recent global bond sell-off is primarily a supply problem from excessive Treasury and corporate debt issuance, coupled with political risk, rather than rising inflation expectations.

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NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE · A SUMMARY OF WHAT WAS SAID ON THE PODCAST · VERIFY AGAINST THE SOURCE