Zortix matched this thesis to Rates & bonds ETFs as the exposure the bearish case argues against, most actionable for readers who already hold them. Not a recommendation.
Global debt and deficits driving long-end yields
The case was made that rising long-term bond yields globally reflect concerns over high debt stocks, large budget deficits, and political dysfunction, not just transient shocks.
Keep reading this one
You've read the thesis and who argued it. A free account opens the argument, what validates it, the risks the show raised, and the moment in the episode where it was said — 3 ideas in full a day, no card.
The story so far
CONTESTED · 321 MENTIONS · 185 EPISODES · 40 SHOWS
3 JUL 2025 — 26 AUG 2026 · YESTERDAY
172 SUPPORT · 23 CHALLENGE · 2 REPEAT · 124 MENTIONED
- THE ACQUIRERS PODCAST
27 EPISODES BETWEEN · 51 MENTIONS · 125 NOT KEPT
- 125 EPISODES NOT SHOWN
- WEALTHION - BE FINANCIALLY RESILIENT
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- TOP TRADERS UNPLUGGED · 4 MENTIONS
- FORWARD GUIDANCE
- EURODOLLAR UNIVERSITY
- THE POMP PODCAST
- PROF G MARKETS · 3 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- MACROVOICES · 2 MENTIONS
- GOLDMAN SACHS EXCHANGES: THE MARKETS · 3 MENTIONS
- ODD LOTS
- THE BEST EVER CRE SHOW · 3 MENTIONS
- THE MEB FABER SHOW · 3 MENTIONS
- WEALTHION - BE FINANCIALLY RESILIENT · 2 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE · 2 MENTIONS
- EXCESS RETURNS · 5 MENTIONS
- THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW · 2 MENTIONS
- COMMODITY CULTURE · 2 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE · 2 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE · 4 MENTIONS
- WHAT BITCOIN DID
- THE DIVIDEND CAFE
- WEALTHION - BE FINANCIALLY RESILIENT
- MARKETPLACE
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- Global debt and deficits driving long-end yields · THIS IDEA
25 EPISODES BETWEEN · 77 MENTIONS
- TOP TRADERS UNPLUGGED · 2 MENTIONS
- WSJ WHAT'S NEWS
- MARKETPLACE
- COMMODITY CULTURE · 5 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE
- EXCESS RETURNS · 5 MENTIONS
- THE DERIVATIVE
- MONETARY MATTERS WITH JACK FARLEY · 11 MENTIONS
- Industrial metals on reshoring, grid build-out
- Dollar reserve status must end for reshoring
- AI CapEx and deficits driving long-end yields higher
- Treasury buybacks as soft yield curve control
- Fed's Warsh constrained by math, not a hawk
- AI CapEx boom will end in a bust
- Gold as the primary hedge against treasury market stress
- Treasury yields are capped by fiscal necessity
- Gold to outperform equities over the medium term
- Own industrials, short bonds in gold terms
- War bullish for stocks in dollars, gold in real terms
- MACROVOICES · 5 MENTIONS
- THE ALPHA EXCHANGE · 3 MENTIONS
- WSJ WHAT'S NEWS
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS · 2 MENTIONS
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO · 6 MENTIONS
- COMMODITY CULTURE
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE · 6 MENTIONS
- BLOOMBERG SURVEILLANCE · 3 MENTIONS
- MARKETPLACE
- UNCHAINED · 2 MENTIONS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY · 6 MENTIONS
- THE TWENTY MINUTE VC
- THE JULIA LA ROCHE SHOW · 5 MENTIONS
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO
- EXCESS RETURNS · 4 MENTIONS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY · 2 MENTIONS
- THOUGHTFUL MONEY · 4 MENTIONS
- MACRO MUSINGS WITH DAVID BECKWORTH
- THE COMPOUND AND FRIENDS
- THE POMP PODCAST
- AFFORD ANYTHING
- PALISADES GOLD RADIO
HOW THE SHOWS HAVE DISCUSSED THIS THESIS OVER TIME · NOT A PERFORMANCE RECORD